The Chinese University of Hong Kong MBA Program in Finance at Tsinghua University, Shenzhen

DSME6350B: Econometrics, 2013/14

Instructor: Jason J. H. Yeh, A.S.A. (Society of Actuaries), Ph.D.(UW-Madison)
Office & Phone: Department of Finance, CUHK, HONG KONG
; +852-3943-7653
E-mail: jasonyeh@baf.msmail.cuhk.edu.hk
Course Web: http://ihome.cuhk.edu.hk/~b103302/dse6350/dse6350.html

Course Objectives:

The aim of this course is to demonstrate the basic econometric principles in analyzing business data.  This course is designed to apply mathematical and statistical / econometric techniques to business and financial issues.  Topics include regression and time series analysis of financial data; forecasting and simulations in financial applications.  The course involves extensive usage of computers and relevant software packages.  We will use a lot of examples to illustrate how to analyze real data.

Textbook:

I will use lecture notes for the most part of the course.  Many examples discussed in class are drawn from:

 l            Hill, Griffiths, and Lim (HGL), Principles of Econometrics, 4th, 2012, Wiley.

l            Griffiths, Hill, and Lim, Using EViews for Principles of Econometrics, 4th, 2012, Wiley.

Using Excel for Principles of Econometrics, 3rd Edition by Asli Ogunc and  R. Carter Hill.

This free supplement is readable using Adobe Acrobat. It explains how to use Excel (2003) to replicate many of the examples in Principles of Econometrics. It includes many screen shots and provides step-by-step instructions for using Excel.

Computer Requirements:

The second textbook listed above contains the EViews SV 7 econometric software, which is a powerful and user-friendly tool to handle many econometric analyses and tests that are not available in Excel or StatPro that we used before.  You are required to have the software so as to follow the examples illustrated in class.

Data files: POE includes 148 data files in various formats. Using the links below you can download all files in a *.ZIP format, or download individual files. The data definition files should be downloaded by all users.

Data definition files (*.def) are text files containing variable names, definitions and summary statistics.

ASCII files (*.dat) are text files containing only data. Variable names are in *.def files.

EViews workfiles (*.wf1) are compatible with EViews Student Version 6. Practical tips for large files.

Excel spreadheets (*.xls) were created using Excel 2003.

Excel spreadheets (*.xlsx) for Excel 2007 or 2010.

Learning Aids

Distribution Calculator

Learning by Simulations

Test Bank

Errata Answers to Selected Exercises POE4 Formula Sheets POE4 Statistical Tables

Durbin-Watson Critical Values Tips on Writing

Grading:

The final exam, scheduled on July 6 in class, will account for 30% of the course grade.  A group homework assignment will take up 30% of the grade. We will have three quizzes in class, and your best two of them will account for 30% of the grade.  Finally, attendance and participation will be for the remaining 10%. 

Attendance & Participation

  10%

Quiz

  30%

Homework

  30%

Exam

  30%

Total

100%

 Class Schedule: (Course Chapter slides)

 

Time

Covered Chapters in HGL

Topics

1

June 7 (Sat)

9AM ~ 12PM

1, 2, 3

An Introduction to Econometrics

The Simple Linear Regression Model

Interval Estimation and Hypothesis Testing

2

June 7 (Sat)

2PM ~ 6PM

4, 5, 6

Prediction, Goodness of Fit and Modeling Issues

The Multiple Regression Model

Further Inference in the Multiple Regression Model

Quiz

3

June 8 (Sun)

9AM ~ 12PM

7, 8, 9

Nonlinear Relationships.

Heteroskedasticity.

Dynamic Models, Autocorrelation and Forecasting

Quiz

4

June 14 (Sat.)

9AM ~ 12PM

12, 14

Nonstationary Time-Series and cointegration

Time-Varying Volatility and ARCH Models

5

June 14 (Sat.)

2PM ~ 6PM

16

Qualitative and Limited Dependent Variable Models

Quiz

6

June 15 (Sun.)

9AM ~ 12PM

 

Summary Review and Final Exam

Academic Honesty:

Attention is drawn to University policy and regulations on honesty in academic work, and to the disciplinary guidelines and procedures applicable to breaches of such policy and regulations.  Details can be found at http://www.cuhk.edu.hk/policy/academichonesty/.  With each assignment, you are required to submit a statement (http://www.cuhk.edu.hk/policy/academichonesty/) that you are aware of these policies, regulations, guidelines and procedures.